Player props
How props are priced, where books get them wrong, and how to compare them against the market.
- Player propsWhy do player prop overs lose more often?Many player stats are right-skewed: the average sits above a typical game. Comparing that average to the line can make the over look better than it is. · 3 min read
- Player propsAnytime touchdown scorer odds, explainedAn anytime-TD price converts to an implied chance like any odds, but there's no second side to check it against, so shop it across books. · 4 min read
- Player propsHow to devig a one-sided prop, like anytime touchdown scorerAnytime-TD and goalscorer markets can't be devigged the normal way: there's no second side. Compare the price to your own number instead. · 4 min read
- Player propsHow are player props priced?A book turns a projection into a distribution to price every number, and why fewer sharp books trading props pushes the margin wider than a game line's. · 4 min read
- Player propsWhat is a same-game parlay?A same-game parlay combines two or more bets from one game onto one ticket, priced on how the legs correlate instead of multiplying each leg's odds. · 5 min read
- Player propsWhat is a prop bet?A prop bet is a wager on something other than the final score — a player's stats or an in-game event — and it usually carries more vig than a spread or total. · 4 min read