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Kelly criterion calculator

How much of your bankroll a bet with an edge deserves, with a fraction and a cap.

25% (quarter Kelly) is common

Fair chance it wins

e.g. Pinnacle's price for your bet

Same book, same line

Result

Edge (EV per $1)
-18.0%
Full Kelly
0.00%
Your stake
0.00% of bankroll
In dollars
$0.00

No edge at this price, so Kelly stakes nothing.

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How it works

The Kelly criterion sizes a bet by its edge: the bigger the gap between the fair chance and the price, the more it stakes. With no edge it stakes nothing.

Full Kelly is aggressive because the fair chance is an estimate. Most bettors use a quarter Kelly and cap any single bet at a small share of the bankroll.

Only bet money you can afford to lose. A bankroll is money set aside for betting, not savings.